Was some time ago since I discussed politics, I even missed to write about the European Parliament. Well, thats over so let put or gaze upon the most important political battle this year in Europe, I'm speaking of the Swedish national election. Doesn't look good for the current government. I think all polls have showed a loss, the difference is if the red-greens get a majority or not. So if hope is the last thing to leave us the small ray lies with that fact. At the moment they have a small lead, but the feminist party has winds in their sails and pulls around 3 % (more like the most extreme left party of them all) and if they enter parliament both the green and left party has stated they want them in the government incase of victory. Meanwhile the social democratic party doesn't even comes above 30 % leaving them extremly weak against the greens 13 % and left 7 %. The hope lies that the right wing of S together with the unaligned middle will be scared towards the center-right Alliance pushing all parties above 4 % and around 43-47 % together leaving the sweden democrats the kingsmakers.
This is a real political analysis (real compared to idealistic), not my prefered outcome (prefered is own majority for the center-right, moderates bigger than S and the liberals at 10 % and the rest divided between the others). Why would this be possible? The moderat leader Reinfeldt has already annonced the largest block to elect prime minister, the kicker is that the red-greens doesn't act in a block, they all enter seperatly and all S have mentioned is a prefered coalition partner in the greens (before they went bonkers with their anti-growth politics and so on) leaving us with the fact that if they can't get their own majority, Reinfeldt can sidestep them without breaking his word. This scenario will of course fail if either the christian democrates or tye center party leaves the parliament. This is the current situation and lets hope it goes all well